Population of Russia: What Can We Expect in the Future?
نویسنده
چکیده
The paper presents the first ever demographic scenarios for the regions of Russia. Scenarios are developed for 49 ohlusts (regions), six kruys (territories), 21 republics, one autonomous oblast and two national cities, Moscow and St. Petersburg. Five scenarios are considered: two optimistic scenarios, two medium scenarios and one pessimistic scenario. The scenarios are combinations of three mortality scenarios, two fertility scenarios and three migration scenarios. Results and a discussion of the differences between the scenarios are presented for 11 economic-geographic regions. The main findings of the scenario analysis are: (a) the population decline, which started in 1992, continues in all scenarios; (b) aging of the population reaches unprecedented levels; and (c) the spatial redistribution of the population out of Siberia to the European part of Russia, in particular the southern regions (North Caucasus and the Volga Region), continues.
منابع مشابه
The Basics and Functions of Putinism in Russia
Abstract:The present Russian political system is tied up with Putin's name; and Putin is consi-dered as a full-fledged political reality. Today's powerful Russia, which has got a new life after the Cold War and the weak collapse period, and has a major impact on global developments including the Middle East, is not understandable except under this title. What inspired writers to analyze P...
متن کاملA Decision between Bayesian and Frequentist Upper Limit in Analyzing Continuous Gravitational Waves
Given the sensitivity of current ground-based Gravitational Wave (GW) detectors, any continuous-wave signal we can realistically expect will be at a level or below the background noise. Hence, any data analysis of detector data will need to rely on statistical techniques to separate the signal from the noise. While with the current sensitivity of our detectors we do not expect to detect any tru...
متن کاملEurope and the Challenge of Energy Security: Limitations and Strategies
The increasing dependence of European Union member countries on imported oil and gas has led to concerns about energy supply and security. At the same time the share of clean energy in Europe’s energy consumption basket is increasing due to environmental issues. About a quarter of all energy consumption in the EU is natural gas, and most EU member states import almost all of their energy resou...
متن کاملCommunity Assessment: A Current Essential Need
Health as a basic right of the people and essential demand should be considered as a joint responsibility of the government and people of a community. As much as the people of a community aware and involved in the individual health promotion and problem solving of their community in all dimensions, the probability of reaching to favorable health measurements is also increased. Community assess...
متن کاملMyotopography in Tibial Lengthening
Limb lengthening by Ilizarov lengthens not just the long bone, but also the soft tissues too. Damage of the musclesduring corticotomy and their stretching during distraction play a crucial role in occurrence of complications and finallimb function. We present here a systematic codified nomenclature system of each muscle summarising all theinfluence that corticotomy and distraction have the part...
متن کامل